ODM party leader Oburu Oginga missed the handover of the Raila Odinga mausoleum at Kang'o ka Jaramogi in Bondo, Siaya County, on Wednesday 7 October, after his office said doctors had ordered him to rest. His apologies were delivered by his nephew Raila Odinga Junior.

“Allow me first to convey apologies of Dr Oburu Odinga, who is unable to be with us today,” Raila Junior told the gathering. Oburu's son Jaoko attended.

In remarks read on his behalf, Oburu, who is also Siaya Senator, said: “I am speaking to you while observing strict directives from my doctors to rest and limit my physical engagements.”

Three days of rumour and reassurance

The absence followed a weekend of speculation. ODM communications director Philip Etale said Oburu went to Nairobi Hospital on Sunday for a routine check-up. “Oburu is back. He went to Nairobi Hospital for a routine check-up, you know, at his age,” Etale said. “There's no cause for alarm.”

On the evening of Monday 6 October, a blogger posted on X that Oburu had died. His office called the claims “malicious, unfounded fake news and propaganda.” The statement said he “remains fully updated, mentally alert, and deeply engaged in key party and national matters,” and that the party was consulting its leadership on legal action.

ODM national chairperson and Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga visited him that evening. “My PL Dr Oburu is recovering steadily. I was with him this evening, and he is in high spirits,” she said.

Kisumu Woman Representative Ruth Odinga issued a family statement. “I wish to state clearly that these reports are false,” she said, adding that “Dr. Oginga is well and continues to recover steadily.” She asked for privacy.

A long absence from the trail

The weekend's events sit on top of a longer pattern. Oburu's last public political appearances were in early August: a homecoming ceremony in Karachuonyo on 1 August, and the broad-based coalition parliamentary group meeting with President William Ruto in Naivasha on 10 August. He travelled to the United Kingdom for a medical review in September.

Etale has now said Oburu will not be active in politics for some time. “He'll not be actively involved in politics for the next few weeks or so,” he said. “He'll be back in the fullness of time.”

Etale said stepping back from day-to-day activity is not a withdrawal from the party leadership.

Ruto's reassurance

President Ruto, who handed the mausoleum to the Odinga family, addressed the question directly in Bondo. Speaking in Kiswahili, he told residents that Oburu was dealing with hospital matters but that “huyo mzee ni chairman, ni party leader wetu na tunamheshimu sana” (the old man is our chairman and party leader, and we respect him greatly).

The President's words are a reminder of ODM's position. The party is part of the broad-based arrangement with Ruto's UDA, an alliance that Oburu has backed and that has split ODM. Senator Edwin Sifuna and others who opposed it have left to build their own vehicles.

Winnie's ceasefire call

The family is now preparing for the main anniversary event on 15 October. At the mausoleum, Raila's daughter Winnie Odinga, a member of the East African Legislative Assembly, asked politicians to leave rivalries outside.

The family has set out its own plans for the anniversary, as we noted when Ida Odinga outlined the family-led programme. The overlap between family events and ODM's party calendar is itself a sign of how Raila's legacy is being shared, and sometimes contested, a year after his death.

“As a family, we call for a political ceasefire in his honour,” she said. The day “should not become a political showground, a competition of who owns the crowd,” she said, or about “who receives the loudest cheers or who can embarrass another guest.”

The appeal is pointed. Raila's legacy is claimed by both the ODM leadership that works with Ruto and by opposition figures who say they carry his reform agenda. ODM's “Mwezi wa Baba” programme of commemorations runs to 31 October and ends with a rally in Nairobi.

Why it matters

Oburu's health is his and his family's business, and the response to the false death report was proper. The public interest lies elsewhere: in how ODM is run while its leader is away.

ODM has not publicly named an acting party leader or said how decisions will be taken during his rest. The party has a national chairperson in Wanga and a secretariat that has spoken for him. But the party leader's role in coalition talks, in candidate nominations and in the broad-based arrangement with the President is significant, especially with the 2027 cycle under way.

Clear communication also protects the party. A vacuum filled by bloggers serves no one, as the events of Monday night showed.

Party members and voters are entitled to simple answers without intrusion into medical details: who chairs ODM's decision-making organs in the coming weeks, who speaks for the party in coalition talks, and when the leader is expected back. Those are governance questions, and ODM can answer them without saying anything about a diagnosis.

What to watch

Watch whether Oburu attends the 15 October anniversary, and whether ODM formally designates anyone to act for him. Watch whether the call for a political ceasefire holds when ODM, opposition figures and government leaders share a stage. And watch the 31 October Nairobi rally, which will show who ODM puts forward as its public face in the capital.

Photo details
File photograph: ODM party leader and Siaya Senator Oburu Oginga speaking at an earlier event. He missed the Raila Odinga mausoleum handover in Bondo on 7 October. Photo via Citizen Digital.
Via Citizen Digital
  • Oburu Oginga missed the Raila mausoleum handover on 7 October and sent apologies through Raila Odinga Junior.
  • ODM says he went for a routine check-up and will stay out of active politics for some weeks; his office called death rumours fake news.
  • Winnie Odinga called for a political ceasefire at the 15 October Raila anniversary.
  • ODM has not publicly said who acts for the party leader during his rest.